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<\/p>\nProjeksionet reja t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebr periudh\u00ebn 2019-2031 t\u00eb publikuara sot nga INSTAT rezultojn\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuara se pritjet aktuale (q\u00eb ishin p\u00ebr periudh\u00ebn 2011-2031).<\/p>\n
Sipas publikimit t\u00eb sotsh\u00ebm t\u00eb INSTAT popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2031, sipas projeksioneve t\u00eb p\u00ebrdit\u00ebsuara, llogaritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb 2.745.996 banor\u00eb sipas projeksioneve normale dhe m\u00eb pak se 2.6 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb sipas skenarit pesimist. Ky num\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 36 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb m\u00eb pak krahasuar me numrin e popullsis\u00eb n\u00eb Projeksionet e Popullsis\u00eb 2011 \u2013 2031.<\/p>\n
INSTAT v\u00eb n\u00eb dukje se, ndryshimi i k\u00ebtij numri \u00ebsht\u00eb pasoj\u00eb direkte e normave m\u00eb t\u00eb ulta t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb dhe shp\u00ebrndarja gjinore e emigrant\u00ebve e cila nuk p\u00ebrkon me hipotez\u00ebn e projeksioneve t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb 2011 \u2013 2031.<\/p>\n
Rritja me ritme t\u00eb ngadalta e ISF, shoq\u00ebruar nga hyrja n\u00eb mosh\u00eb riprodhimi e brezave t\u00eb grave m\u00eb t\u00eb pak\u00ebt n\u00eb num\u00ebr se ato aktual, do t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb q\u00eb numri i lindjeve t\u00eb mos p\u00ebsoj\u00eb ndryshime dometh\u00ebn\u00ebse gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs 2019 \u2013 2031.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb numri i vdekjeve do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb rritet, si pasoj\u00eb e nj\u00eb popullsie m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb mosh\u00eb t\u00eb vjet\u00ebr. K\u00ebto dy ndryshime do t\u00eb sjellin edhe r\u00ebnien e shtes\u00ebs natyrore deri n\u00eb rreth 3,2 mij\u00eb n\u00eb 2031.<\/p>\n
Gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs 2011 \u2013 2018, normat e emigrimit t\u00eb burrave rezultuan t\u00eb ishin m\u00eb t\u00eb larta se ato q\u00eb u supozuan n\u00eb projeksionet e m\u00ebparshme. Nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebr grat\u00eb rezultoi e kund\u00ebrta, normat e emigrimit ishin disa her\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta se ato t\u00eb supozuara m\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebto ndryshime n\u00eb sjelljet migratore, kan\u00eb sjell\u00eb edhe ndryshimin e struktur\u00ebs gjinore t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2011, Shqip\u00ebria ishte nj\u00eb vend ku kishte m\u00eb shum\u00eb burra se sa gra. Kjo tashm\u00eb ka ndryshuar n\u00eb vitin 2019, pasi n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri raporti gjinor q\u00ebndron n\u00eb 99,8 burra p\u00ebr \u00e7do 100 gra.<\/p>\n
Sipas projeksioneve t\u00eb p\u00ebrdit\u00ebsuara, raporti gjinor pritet t\u00eb thellohet n\u00eb favor t\u00eb grave duke arritur deri n\u00eb 89,1 burra p\u00ebr \u00e7do 100 gra.<\/p>\n
Popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb procesin e plakjes dhe pritet q\u00eb mosha median\u00eb e saj t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb 42,1 vje\u00e7, n\u00eb vitin 2031.<\/p>\n
Ky proces i plakjes shoq\u00ebrohet me rritjen e shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb koefi\u00e7ientit t\u00eb var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb t\u00eb moshuarve nga rreth 20,5 t\u00eb moshuar p\u00ebr 100 persona n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune n\u00eb vitin 2019, n\u00eb rreth 35,0 t\u00eb moshuar p\u00ebr \u00e7do 100 persona n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune.<\/p>\n
Gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe koefi\u00e7ienti i var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb t\u00eb rinjve do t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb n\u00eb nivele konstante prej rreth 25,0 t\u00eb rinj p\u00ebr \u00e7do 100 persona n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune.<\/p>\n
Ndryshimet demografike q\u00eb pritet t\u00eb kaloj\u00eb popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb deri n\u00eb vitin 2031 do t\u00eb ken\u00eb ndikimin e tyre edhe n\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarjen e saj nd\u00ebrmjet qarqeve t\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n
Deri n\u00eb vitin 2031, vet\u00ebm popullsia e qarkut t\u00eb Tiran\u00ebs pritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb e lart\u00eb se ajo e vitit 2019, duke arritur n\u00eb rreth 954 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb. N\u00eb vitin 2031, n\u00eb qarkun e Tiran\u00ebs pritet t\u00eb banoj\u00eb rreth 35 % e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb. Qarqet me popullsin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt do t\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb qarqet e Gjirokastr\u00ebs dhe Kuk\u00ebsit, respektivisht me rreth 53 mij\u00eb dhe 60 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb. \/Monitor<\/p>\n
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Projeksionet reja t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebr periudh\u00ebn 2019-2031 t\u00eb publikuara sot nga INSTAT rezultojn\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuara se pritjet aktuale (q\u00eb ishin p\u00ebr periudh\u00ebn 2011-2031). Sipas publikimit t\u00eb sotsh\u00ebm t\u00eb INSTAT popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2031, sipas projeksioneve t\u00eb p\u00ebrdit\u00ebsuara, llogaritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb 2.745.996 banor\u00eb sipas projeksioneve normale dhe m\u00eb pak se 2.6 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2772,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,3,18,21],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n