Bota s\u00eb shpejti mund t\u00eb arrij\u00eb \u201cpikun e virusit\u201d. Por rim\u00ebk\u00ebmbja e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb \u2013 dhe efektet do t\u00eb jen\u00eb sizmike.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb teorin\u00eb e kaosit, efekti flutur p\u00ebrshkruan nj\u00eb ndryshim t\u00eb vog\u00ebl q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja masive, t\u00eb paparashikueshme. Nj\u00eb insekt p\u00ebrplas krah\u00ebt dhe, disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, shkakton nj\u00eb tornado.<\/p>\n
Koronavirusi \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb si nj\u00eb t\u00ebrmet, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb shkundje q\u00eb do ta rib\u00ebj\u00eb bot\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse jemi me fat, bota do t\u00eb kaloj\u00eb \u201cpikun e virusit \u201d brenda gjasht\u00eb muajve t\u00eb ardhsh\u00ebm. Por ekonomive dhe institucioneve sociale, n\u00eb skenarin m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb do t\u2019u duhen vite p\u00ebr t\u2019u rim\u00ebk\u00ebmbur. N\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb flasim edhe p\u00ebr \u201crim\u00ebk\u00ebmbjen\u201d, q\u00eb n\u00ebnkupton kthimin n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn sesi gj\u00ebratishin, do t\u00eb ishte mishin e men\u00e7ur q\u00eb t\u00eb projektonim se \u00e7far\u00eb drejtimi t\u00eb ri do t\u00eb marr\u00eb qytetishinrimi. 3-5 vitet e ardhshme do t\u00eb kuptojm\u00eb se COVID-19 ishte vet\u00ebm shkrepishintima para stuhis\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Emergjenc\u00eb e gjat\u00eb Skenari m\u00eb i preksh\u00ebm i rrezikut, q\u00eb duhet marr\u00eb parasysh, \u00ebsht\u00eb se llojet e shumta ekzistuese t\u00eb COVID-19 q\u00eb kan\u00eb prekur bot\u00ebn mbar\u00eb, po vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrojn\u00eb shoq\u00ebrit\u00eb dhe k\u00ebrkimi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb vaksin\u00eb duket se do t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb p\u00ebrtej parashikimit aktual 12-18 muaj. Numri i vdekjeve totale do t\u00eb kaloj\u00eb nga n\u00ebn 100,000 aktualisht, n\u00eb afro nj\u00eb milion ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb. P\u00ebr momentin, t\u00eb gjitha vendet jan\u00eb izoluar.<\/p>\n P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, papun\u00ebsia po arrin nivelet e epok\u00ebs s\u00eb Depresionit t\u00eb Madh, dhe paketat aktuale t\u00eb ndihmave nuk arrijn\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00ebsojn\u00eb nevojat p\u00ebr vitet q\u00eb vijn\u00eb.<\/p>\n \u201cSkenari i Suezit\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n R\u00ebnia e plot\u00eb e shtetit nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar i pakuptuesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr shtetet, nga Ekuadori n\u00eb Iran. Vitet e fundit t\u00eb hiperinflacionit dhe uris\u00eb s\u00eb Venezuel\u00ebs do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohen nga ndihmat e pakta dhe \u00e7mimet e naft\u00ebs n\u00eb r\u00ebnie. Shkalla e lart\u00eb e infeksionit t\u00eb viruseve n\u00eb Iran \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrlikuar nga mbytja prej sanksioneve amerikane.<\/p>\n Do t\u00eb ishte tep\u00ebr e thjesht\u00eb t\u00eb sugjeronim q\u00eb Kina do t\u00eb plot\u00ebsoj\u00eb boshll\u00ebkun. Duke pasur parasysh v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsit\u00eb e veta, borxhin e lart\u00eb dhe defi\u00e7itet, Pekini nuk mund t\u00eb ndihmoj\u00eb shtetet q\u00eb i ka pasur gjithmon\u00eb klient\u00eb t\u00eb vet, si Irani dhe Pakistani.<\/p>\n Nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb tjet\u00ebr migrimi<\/strong><\/p>\n Situata ekonomike globale na tregon se njer\u00ebzit do t\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb ikin nga shtetet q\u00eb do d\u00ebshtojn\u00eb. Turqia e ka b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb se nuk d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb strehoj\u00eb kat\u00ebr milion refugjat\u00eb sirian\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrjet\u00ebsi dhe as t\u00eb toleroj\u00eb nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthim masiv t\u00eb virusit. K\u00ebshtu q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb presim q\u00eb kriza e migrant\u00ebve t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzohet p\u00ebrs\u00ebri.<\/p>\n Nacionalizmi n\u00eb ngritje<\/strong><\/p>\n Sidoqoft\u00eb, p\u00ebrpara se shum\u00eb vende t\u00eb mendojn\u00eb p\u00ebr shp\u00ebrnguljen, ata me siguri do t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb nj\u00eb rishikim serioz t\u00eb furnizimeve ushqimore dhe mjek\u00ebsore dhe ndoshta do t\u00eb angazhohen n\u00eb llojin e krijimit t\u00eb stoqeve, ose \u201cnacionalizmit ushqimor\u201d. Nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb, paq\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebria e \u00e7mimeve bujq\u00ebsore e p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar nga ndalimi i eksporteve t\u00eb grurit nga Rusia desh shtyu Egjiptin dhe Tunizin\u00eb drejt humner\u00ebs. Nuk duhet t\u00eb \u00e7uditemi q\u00eb kjo histori t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritet n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende.<\/p>\n Teknologjia p\u00ebrball\u00eb kosotve<\/strong><\/p>\n \u00c7far\u00eb investimesh mund t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb sot p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur ndikimin e pandemis\u00eb s\u00eb koronavirusit dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb \u00e7uar t\u00eb ardhmen n\u00eb nj\u00eb drejtim m\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm dhe t\u00eb sigurt\u00eb?<\/p>\n Investimet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb bioteknologji dhe kujdesin sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor jan\u00eb vendet e duhura p\u00ebr t\u2019ia filluar, por jo n\u00eb form\u00ebn e tyre aktuale. Kujdesi sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor po p\u00ebrcaktohet si nj\u00eb e mir\u00eb sociale n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn (si\u00e7 ndodh n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb), por kostoja e tij po vihet n\u00ebn v\u00ebzhgim t\u00eb kujdessh\u00ebm. Ofrimi me kosto efektive mund t\u00eb arrihet vet\u00ebm p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb modeli q\u00eb p\u00ebrq\u00ebndrohet tek telemjek\u00ebsia.<\/p>\n K\u00ebrc\u00ebnim ndaj qytet\u00ebrimit<\/strong><\/p>\n Koronavirusi ka vendosur n\u00eb nj\u00eb prov\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe udh\u00ebheqjen sesa 11 shtatori dhe krizat financiare t\u00eb marra s\u00eb bashku.<\/p>\n P\u00ebr t\u00eb ecur p\u00ebrpara, udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit e bot\u00ebs do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb pranojn\u00eb nj\u00eb agjenci shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe, n\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktimin e p\u00ebrpar\u00ebsive afatgjata.<\/p>\n Sa m\u00eb tej t\u00eb shikojm\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb mund t\u00eb imagjinojm\u00eb sesi shoq\u00ebria globale mund t\u00eb rib\u00ebhet, nga pandemia e koronavirusit. Vdekja e Zez\u00eb e shekullit XIV shkaktoi miliona vdekje n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Eurazin\u00eb, cop\u00ebtoi perandorin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe territoriale t\u00eb njohur ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb (Mongol\u00ebt), imponoi rritjen e konsiderueshme t\u00eb pagave n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb dhe promovoi eksplorime m\u00eb t\u00eb gjera detare, q\u00eb \u00e7uan n\u00eb kolonializmin evropian. Filles\u00ebn e k\u00ebtyre fenomeneve mund ta gjurmojm\u00eb tek murtaja, edhe pse u shtrin\u00eb nd\u00ebr shekuj.<\/p>\n Pasojat e pandemis\u00eb s\u00eb sotme do t\u00eb shfaqen shum\u00eb m\u00eb shpejt, dhe me p\u00ebrfitimin e largpam\u00ebsis\u00eb, ne mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqemi t\u2019i leht\u00ebsojm\u00eb ato, t\u2019i kapitalizojm\u00eb dhe t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtojm\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem global m\u00eb elastik. \/ FC \u2013 Bota.al<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bota s\u00eb shpejti mund t\u00eb arrij\u00eb \u201cpikun e virusit\u201d. Por rim\u00ebk\u00ebmbja e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb \u2013 dhe efektet do t\u00eb jen\u00eb sizmike. N\u00eb teorin\u00eb e kaosit, efekti flutur p\u00ebrshkruan nj\u00eb ndryshim t\u00eb vog\u00ebl q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja masive, t\u00eb paparashikueshme. Nj\u00eb insekt p\u00ebrplas krah\u00ebt dhe, disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, shkakton nj\u00eb tornado. Koronavirusi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,21],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n