{"id":20905,"date":"2020-04-04T19:21:56","date_gmt":"2020-04-04T17:21:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/redaktori.com\/?p=20905"},"modified":"2020-04-04T19:21:56","modified_gmt":"2020-04-04T17:21:56","slug":"paketa-ekonomike-perballe-sfides-nuk-ka-rendesi-sa-na-kushton","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redaktori.com\/?p=20905","title":{"rendered":"Paketa ekonomike \u2013 p\u00ebrball\u00eb sfid\u00ebs: \u201cnuk ka r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi sa na kushton\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nga Adrian Civici<\/strong><\/p>\n

Thellimi i kriz\u00ebs ekonomiko-financiare si efekt i koronavirusit, po i vendos Shtetet dhe qeverit\u00eb e ndryshme p\u00ebrball\u00eb detyrimit t\u00eb disbursimit t\u00eb miliarda eurove apo dollar\u00ebve p\u00ebr p\u00ebrballimin e efekteve shkat\u00ebruese t\u00eb saj dhe nd\u00ebrtimin e paketave speciale mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebse p\u00ebr bizneset dhe qytetar\u00ebt. P\u00ebrballimi k\u00ebsaj sfide t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme duket se po p\u00ebrcaktohet nga \u201crivaliteti\u201d nd\u00ebrmjet dy elementeve kryesore t\u00eb saj : 1.nevojat mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebse<\/em>\u00a0me karakter social (garantimi i konsumit, financim shtet\u00ebror p\u00ebr pagat, ndihmave sociale, etj.,t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve), nevojat kundrejt biznesit p\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtur aft\u00ebsin\u00eb prodhuese dhe mos shkuar drejt falimentimit (fonde shtet\u00ebrore garancie, kredi t\u00eb buta e preferenciale, shtyrje apo ristrukturime detyrimesh, p\u00ebrjashtime apo shtyrje n\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb disa taksave, etj.); dhe, 2.mund\u00ebsive reale t\u00eb cdo qeverie p\u00ebr t\u00eb disponuar dhe disbursuar parat\u00eb e nevojshme p\u00ebr k\u00ebto paketa ekonomike.<\/p>\n

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Shum\u00eb nga drejtuesit e qeverive, shteteve, bankave q\u00ebndrore apo institucioneve nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, n\u00ebn presionin e jasht\u00ebzakonsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritjen e borxhit publik dhe deficitit buxhetor po vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00ebngulin n\u00eb instrumentin e \u201cmonetarizimit t\u00eb borxheve\u201d. Shprehja dhe q\u00ebndrimi m\u00eb dominues n\u00eb k\u00ebto momente \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cdo b\u00ebjm\u00eb gjithshka, sado q\u00eb kjo gj\u00eb t\u00eb kushtoj\u00eb\u201d. Kryeministri italian Conte, Presidenti francez Macron, Presidenti i SHBA Trump, Kryeministri britanik Jonson, etj., nuk rreshtin s\u00eb deklaruari se \u201cShteti do ndihmoj\u00eb spitalet, bizneset, pun\u00eb marr\u00ebsit \u2026 gjat\u00eb gjith\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb koronavirusit, me cdo kosto e cmim q\u00eb do jet\u00eb e nevojshme\u201d. Natyrisht, q\u00eb kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht \u201cnj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb elegante dhe garantuese t\u00eb shprehuri\u201d, pasi mbrapa saj q\u00ebndron \u201cgjith\u00eb arsenali i masave t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme ekonomike, financiare dhe monetare q\u00eb po p\u00ebrdoren n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb krize\u201d.<\/p>\n

Gjat\u00eb kriz\u00ebs globale financiare t\u00eb viteve 2008-2012, BE-ja kaloi momente shum\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira. Greqia ishte n\u00eb prag falimentimi total dhe rrezikonte seriozisht t\u00eb braktiste eurozon\u00ebn,Spanja, Portugalia dhe Italia ishin t\u00eb detyruara t\u00eb merrnin hua t\u00eb m\u00ebdha me p\u00ebrqindje interesi t\u00eb larta n\u00eb tregjet financiare. Mario Draghi, n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb President i BQE garantonte se \u201cBanka Q\u00ebndrore Europiane \u00ebsht\u00eb gati t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb gjithshka q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb \u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr shp\u00ebtimin e euros, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb k\u00ebtu dhe blerjen masive t\u00eb borxhit t\u00eb v\u00ebndeve n\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi\u201d. Kjo \u201cformul\u00eb\u201d funksionoi n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb suksesshme. P\u00ebrqindjet e interesit t\u00eb borxhit p\u00ebr vendet n\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi u ul\u00ebn, cka d\u00ebshmoi se tregjet financiare e rrit\u00ebn besimin p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb dhe stabilitetin financiar t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre vendeve.<\/p>\n

Me sa duket, \u201ckriza e koronavirusit\u201d po e rrisjell n\u00eb v\u00ebmendje k\u00ebt\u00eb recet\u00eb shp\u00ebtuese. P\u00ebrball\u00eb presioneve dhe detyrimeve t\u00eb \u201cfatur\u00ebs s\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme financiare p\u00ebr p\u00ebrballimin e kriz\u00ebs po shtrohet dhe pyetja : a kan\u00eb vendet e prekura, qofshin k\u00ebto vende t\u00eb pasura, n\u00eb zhvillim, apo t\u00eb varf\u00ebra, mund\u00ebsi dhe hap\u00ebsira t\u00eb pakufizuara p\u00ebr t\u00eb mobilizuar shuma kaq t\u00eb m\u00ebdha monetare?\u201d. Pozicioni \u201cpavar\u00ebsisht se sa kushton\u201d n\u00ebnkupton se tani nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb koha p\u00ebr llogaritjen e shpenzimeve, por p\u00ebr mobilizimin e gjithshkaje q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur si burime financiare e monetare \u2026 \u00ebsht\u00eb koha p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjetur e p\u00ebrdorur cdo lloj mund\u00ebsie e burimi financiar\u201d. Recetat e \u201cvjetra\u201d klasike e neoklasike nuk duket se jan\u00eb t\u00eb mundshme e t\u00eb mir\u00ebpritura. \u00cbsht\u00eb mjaft e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb, thujase e pamundur q\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb flitet p\u00ebr rritjen e taksave apo krijimin e taksavet\u00eb reja \u201ckoronavirus\u201d, shkurtimin e shpenzimeve buxhetore, kontrollin e inflacionit, zvog\u00eblimin e Shtetit dhe nd\u00ebrhyrjes s\u00eb tij n\u00eb ekonomi, zgjerimin e privatizimeve dhe sektorit privat, aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e tregjeve p\u00ebr tu vet\u00ebrregulluar, etj.<\/p>\n

E vetmja gj\u00eb q\u00eb mbetet \u00ebsht\u00eb rruga e marrjes borxh n\u00eb tregjet financiare dhe shtimin e nivelit t\u00eb borxhit publik t\u00eb cdo vendi. P\u00ebr vendet me nivel t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb borxhit publik ose ekonomi t\u00eb fuqishme produktive rritja e tavanit t\u00eb borxhit publik \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201ce suportueshme\u201d, aq m\u00eb tep\u00ebr q\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e tyre, n\u00eb k\u00ebto momente jan\u00eb \u201ct\u00eb favorizuara\u201d sepse mund t\u00eb marrin borxh t\u00eb ri afatgjat\u00eb me interesa negative, nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebr vendet me ekonomi t\u00eb dob\u00ebta dhe borxh publik t\u00eb lart\u00eb, sic \u00ebsht\u00eb dhe Shqip\u00ebria, shtimi i borxhit p\u00ebrtej disa limiteve t\u00eb arsyeshme, mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja negative afatshkurt\u00ebr dhe afatgjat\u00eb duke u bwrw njw \u201cklient problematik n\u00eb tregjet financiare nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare\u201d.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb jav\u00ebt dhe muajt n\u00eb vazhdim, \u201ctregjet financiare mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhen shum\u00eb penalizuese n\u00eb lidhje me normat e interesit t\u00eb dh\u00ebnies s\u00eb borxheve,n\u00eb funksion t\u00eb besueshm\u00ebris\u00eb dhe aft\u00ebsis\u00eb paguese t\u00eb vendeve q\u00eb k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb borxh n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare\u201d. Rritja e normave t\u00eb interesit, do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb pesh\u00eb akoma m\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00eb e borxhit publik mbi buxhetin dhe ekonomin\u00eb. Q\u00ebndrimit \u201cpavar\u00ebsisht sa do kushtoj\u00eb\u201d, po i kund\u00ebrvihet argumenti se \u201cborxhi publik mund t\u00eb rritet, por jo me cdo cmim \u2026 ose indiferent kundrejt cmimit t\u00eb tij\u201d.<\/p>\n

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N\u00eb k\u00ebto kushte, dilemat dhe k\u00ebrkimi i zgjidhjeve efektive \u201cpor dhe t\u00eb mundshme\u201d sa vijn\u00eb dhe shtohen. Vende t\u00eb vecanta po e shtojn\u00eb k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn p\u00ebr borxh t\u00eb ri, si n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare ashtu dhe n\u00eb tregjet e brendshme, BE-ja dhe Eurozona po shkojn\u00eb drejt emetimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb huaje t\u00eb re \u201cCoronavirus bond\u201d q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb \u201cnj\u00eb borxh solidariteti dhe shp\u00ebrndarje risku nd\u00ebrmjet vendeve europiane\u201d, BQE q\u00eb zbaton politik\u00ebn monetare n\u00eb Eurozon\u00eb, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet operacioneve t\u00eb \u201cleht\u00ebsimit sasior\u201d,\u00a0 njofton se \u00ebsht\u00eb e gatshme t\u00eb blej\u00eb borxhin publik t\u00eb vendeve an\u00ebtare n\u00eb nj\u00eb shum\u00eb prej qindra miliard\u00eb euro. Sipas mjaft ekspert\u00ebve financiar\u00eb, \u201cky kooperim nd\u00ebrmjet politik\u00ebs buxhetore dhe asaj monetare, me bank\u00ebn q\u00ebndrore q\u00eb ble borxhin e vendeve t\u00eb ndryshme, \u00ebsht\u00eb i pranuesh\u00ebm n\u00eb situata t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme krize apo gjendje lufte, ku Shtetet vet\u00ebm me buxhetet e tyre e kan\u00eb t\u00eb pamundur ta p\u00ebrballojn\u00eb kriz\u00ebn \u2026 p\u00ebr momentin duket se nuk ka zgjdhje t\u00eb tjera\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr ide apo rrug\u00ebzgjidhje q\u00eb po artikulohet shpesh \u00ebsht\u00eb dhe ajo e \u201cmonetarizimit t\u00eb borxhit\u201d, e famshmja \u201cprerja dhe hedhja n\u00eb qarkullim e kartmonedhave t\u00eb reja, cka n\u00ebnkupton \u201ckonvertimin e borxhit n\u00eb monedha t\u00eb reja\u201d. Natyrisht, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cnj\u00eb zgjidhje e re apo e panjohur\u201d. Ekonomist\u00ebt, politikan\u00ebt dhe bankier\u00ebt jan\u00eb prej nj\u00eb kohe t\u00eb gjat\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb debat t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr n\u00eb lidhje me p\u00ebrdorimin e k\u00ebtij instrumenti, qoft\u00eb dhe n\u00eb koh\u00eb krizash ekstreme si kjo e koronavirusit. Edhe n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, n\u00eb debatin publik e politik ka z\u00ebra ekspert\u00ebsh e politikan\u00ebsh q\u00eb po propozojn\u00eb p\u00ebrdorimin e monetarizimit t\u00eb borxhit n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet prerjes s\u00eb re t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs si nj\u00eb instrumentet dhe mund\u00ebsit\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrballuar dhe konfrontuar kriz\u00ebn. Sa \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur dhe domosdoshme nj\u00eb mas\u00eb e till\u00eb nga Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb?<\/p>\n

Fillimisht, sidomos p\u00ebr ata q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb specialist\u00eb t\u00eb sfer\u00ebs ekonomike, financiare e monetare, mendoj se ky term apo kjo metod\u00eb ka nevoj\u00eb t\u00eb sqarohet pak m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb thelbin dhe p\u00ebrmbajtjen e saj. Ky term p\u00ebrdoret p\u00ebr p\u00ebrcaktimin e t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn dy proceseve t\u00eb ndryshme. Nga nj\u00eb k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrim m\u00eb teorik, \u201cmonetarizimi i borxhit n\u00ebnkupton faktin kur nj\u00eb Shtet, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet bankave q\u00ebndrore printon direkt monedh\u00eb t\u00eb re p\u00ebr t\u00eb plot\u00ebsuar nevojat e tij financiare, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb marr\u00eb borxh apo t\u00eb emetoj\u00eb bonde thesari n\u00eb tregjet e brendshme apo t\u00eb jasht\u00ebme\u201d. Ky term \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjeruar n\u00eb kuptimin e tij edhe n\u00eb p\u00ebrshkrimin e blerjes s\u00eb borxhit publik nga bankat q\u00ebndrore n\u00ebn optik\u00ebn e financimit t\u00eb Shtetit apo qeveris\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Sa mund\u00ebsi apo \u201cd\u00ebshir\u00eb ka Shqip\u00ebria dhe Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb ti drejtohet nj\u00eb opsioni t\u00eb till\u00eb?<\/p>\n

Mendoj se varianti i par\u00eb, ai i printimit direkt t\u00eb parave t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr t\u00eb plot\u00ebsuar nevojat financiare t\u00eb buxhetit duhet p\u00ebrjashtuar t\u00ebr\u00ebsisht si ide apo m\u00ebnyr\u00eb veprimi. P\u00ebr Milton Friedman, \u201cky lloj operacioni d\u00ebshmon p\u00ebr Shtete t\u00eb pap\u00ebrgjegjshme, me pasoja negative ekonomike t\u00eb paparashikueshme\u201d, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb kjo lloj politike \u00ebsht\u00eb e ndalur nga traktate europiane\u00a0 edhe p\u00ebr BQE apo Bankat Q\u00ebndrore t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb vecanta. Rreziku m\u00eb i madh \u00ebsht\u00eb rritja e pakontrolluar e inflcionit, dmth, rritja e cmimeve dhe ulja e fuqis\u00eb bler\u00ebse.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa versioni i dyt\u00eb, ai i blerjes s\u00eb nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb borxhit publik apo privat nga Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb kuad\u00ebr t\u00eb politikave specifike jo-konvencionale, mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb opsion rezerv\u00eb i \u201cminut\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit\u201d, n\u00ebse situata e kriz\u00ebs do zgjas\u00eb dhe do agravohet shum\u00eb, dhe gjendja e likuiditetit n\u00eb sistem do shfaq\u00eb probleme serioze, apo do t\u00eb dal\u00eb si problem kontrolli i kurb\u00ebs s\u00eb normave t\u00eb interesit, n\u00eb em\u00ebr t\u00eb nxitjes s\u00eb kreditimit dhe uljen e kostos s\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimit t\u00eb borxhit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Adrian Civici Thellimi i kriz\u00ebs ekonomiko-financiare si efekt i koronavirusit, po i vendos Shtetet dhe qeverit\u00eb e ndryshme p\u00ebrball\u00eb detyrimit t\u00eb disbursimit t\u00eb miliarda eurove apo dollar\u00ebve p\u00ebr p\u00ebrballimin e efekteve shkat\u00ebruese t\u00eb saj dhe nd\u00ebrtimin e paketave speciale mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebse p\u00ebr bizneset dhe qytetar\u00ebt. P\u00ebrballimi k\u00ebsaj sfide t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme duket se po p\u00ebrcaktohet nga […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20768,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,4],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nPaketa ekonomike \u2013 p\u00ebrball\u00eb sfid\u00ebs: \u201cnuk ka r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi sa na kushton\u201d - Informohu qart\u00ebsisht!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redaktori.com\/?p=20905\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Paketa ekonomike \u2013 p\u00ebrball\u00eb sfid\u00ebs: \u201cnuk ka r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi sa na kushton\u201d - Informohu qart\u00ebsisht!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nga Adrian Civici Thellimi i kriz\u00ebs ekonomiko-financiare si efekt i koronavirusit, po i vendos Shtetet dhe qeverit\u00eb e ndryshme p\u00ebrball\u00eb detyrimit t\u00eb disbursimit t\u00eb miliarda eurove apo dollar\u00ebve p\u00ebr p\u00ebrballimin e efekteve shkat\u00ebruese t\u00eb saj dhe nd\u00ebrtimin e paketave speciale mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebse p\u00ebr bizneset dhe qytetar\u00ebt. 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