{"id":10592,"date":"2019-05-02T14:02:46","date_gmt":"2019-05-02T12:02:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/redaktori.com\/?p=10592"},"modified":"2019-05-02T14:02:46","modified_gmt":"2019-05-02T12:02:46","slug":"efektet-elektorale-te-acarimit-te-situates-politike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redaktori.com\/?p=10592","title":{"rendered":"Efektet elektorale t\u00eb acarimit t\u00eb situat\u00ebs politike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Nga Eduard Zaloshnja<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Acarimi i situat\u00ebs politike n\u00eb muajt e fundit ka patur efektet e veta n\u00eb humorin e elektoratit shqiptar. K\u00ebt\u00eb gj\u00eb mund ta them, meq\u00eb zhvilloj sondazhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrmuajshme p\u00ebr nj\u00eb revist\u00eb q\u00eb botohet anglisht n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb. Gj\u00eb q\u00eb m\u00eb jep mund\u00ebsin\u00eb t\u2019i mas n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebraf\u00ebrt efektet elektorale.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00ebshtu, nga ekstrapolimi i p\u00ebraf\u00ebrt i sondazhit q\u00eb zhvillova n\u00eb janar, para se opozita t\u00eb shpallte djegien e mandateve parlamentare dhe fillimin e protestave t\u00eb periodike, m\u00eb rezultonte se p\u00ebr PS-n\u00eb ishin gati t\u00eb votonin rreth 680 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb t\u00eb rritur t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb (n\u00eb zgjedhjet e parvjetshme ajo mori 765 mij\u00eb vota). Nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebr PD-n\u00eb ishin gati t\u00eb voton n\u00eb janar rreth 480 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb t\u00eb rritur t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb (n\u00eb zgjedhjet e parvjetshme ajo mori 455 mij\u00eb vota).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-149286 td-animation-stack-type0-2\" src=\"http:\/\/admin.afp.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/grafiku-al.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"635\" height=\"502\" \/>Partit\u00eb e tjera (LSI, PDIU, PR, PSD, LIBRA etj.) kishin p\u00ebsuar n\u00eb janar 2019 nj\u00eb tkurrje t\u00eb ndjeshme, n\u00eb krahasim me zgjedhjet e 2017-\u00ebs (nga 370 mij\u00eb vota kishin zbritur n\u00eb 240 mij\u00eb vota). Dhe me acarimin e situat\u00ebs politike, ato e vazhduan tkurrjen, duke zbritur n\u00eb kuot\u00ebn e 195 mij\u00eb votave n\u00eb prill. Nd\u00ebrsa PS-ja dhe PD-ja u rrit\u00ebn n\u00eb tre muajt e fundit me nga 60 mij\u00eb vota secila (shihni grafikun shoq\u00ebrues).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dy partit\u00eb e m\u00ebdha<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sondazhet q\u00eb zhvilloj un\u00eb kan\u00eb si objektiv thjesht matjen e kuotave elektorale, pa u thelluar n\u00eb arsyet q\u00eb mund t\u2019i shkaktojn\u00eb luhatjet e tyre. Por dy sondazhe italiane q\u00eb jan\u00eb publikuar n\u00eb televizione shqiptare mund t\u00eb na ndihmojn\u00eb t\u00eb kuptojm\u00eb arsyet e rritjes s\u00eb kuotave p\u00ebr dy partit\u00eb e m\u00ebdha.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00ebshtu, n\u00eb sondazhet italiane, kuotat e Berish\u00ebs ishin sa dyfishi i kuotave t\u00eb Bash\u00ebs, e madje edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb larta se ato t\u00eb PD-s\u00eb. Meq\u00eb Berisha ishte z\u00ebri m\u00eb i fuqish\u00ebm i opozit\u00ebs n\u00eb thirrjen p\u00ebr djegien e mandateve dhe fillimin e protestave pa kthim (para protest\u00ebs s\u00eb 16 shkurtit at\u00eb mund ta shihje \u00e7do nat\u00eb n\u00eb studio t\u00eb ndryshme televizive), p\u00ebrkrah\u00ebsit e tij t\u00eb zhg\u00ebnjyer nga udh\u00ebheqja e Bash\u00ebs duket se jan\u00eb rikthyer n\u00eb sinorin elektoral t\u00eb PD-s\u00eb. E si rrjedhim PD-ja pati nj\u00eb rritje prej 60 mij\u00eb votash nga janari n\u00eb prill.<\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<p>Por Berisha nuk sh\u00ebrben vet\u00ebm si magnet p\u00ebr votuesit e PD-s\u00eb. Sa m\u00eb aktiv t\u00eb b\u00ebhet ai n\u00eb jet\u00ebn politike, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb socialist\u00ebt e ndjejn\u00eb frik\u00ebn e rikthimit t\u00eb tij n\u00eb pushtet \u2013 sidomos kur Berisha rip\u00ebrmend 1997-\u00ebn\u2026 Dhe duket se pak\u00ebnaq\u00ebsit\u00eb e janarit ndaj qeverisjes, socialist\u00ebt i kan\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00ebnjan\u00eb tani, dhe jan\u00eb rikthyer n\u00eb vath\u00ebn e tyre tradicionale elektorale.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Partit\u00eb e tjera<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Po me partit\u00eb e vogla \u00e7\u2019po ndodh? M\u00eb e madhja nd\u00ebr t\u00eb voglat, LSI-ja, duket se ka nj\u00eb problem t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm me t\u00eb PD-s\u00eb. Sipas sondazhit italian, kuotat e kryetares Kryemadhi ishin sa gjysma e kuotave t\u00eb LSI-s\u00eb dhe sa \u00e7ereku i kuotave t\u00eb themeluesit t\u00eb saj, Ilir Met\u00ebs. Por ky i fundit, ndryshe nga Berisha, e ka quajtur gabim djegien e mandateve parlamentare dhe ka b\u00ebr\u00eb thirrje p\u00ebr kompromis mes pal\u00ebve. Duket se k\u00ebto mesazhe kontradiktore kan\u00eb patur nj\u00eb efekt negativ n\u00eb elektoratin e LSI-s\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Sidoqoft\u00eb, pavar\u00ebsisht problemeve specifike t\u00eb LSI-s\u00eb, t\u00eb gjitha partit\u00eb e vogla kan\u00eb nj\u00eb problem strategjik. Ato funksionojn\u00eb si parti elektorale, n\u00eb baz\u00eb t\u00eb parimit t\u00eb patronazhit. Suksesin e tyre ato e bazojn\u00eb tek premtimet q\u00eb u japin gjat\u00eb fushatave elektorale p\u00ebrkrah\u00ebsve t\u00eb tyre, duke krijuar k\u00ebshtu nj\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie patronazhi me ta. \u201cNa jepni vot\u00ebn dhe ne do t\u00eb kujdesemi p\u00ebr ju e familjen tuaj pas zgjedhjeve\u201d \u2013 kjo ka qen\u00eb formula m\u00eb e p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb terren e partive t\u00eb vogla, ndryshe nga dy t\u00eb m\u00ebdhat\u00eb, q\u00eb nuk mund t\u00eb marrin n\u00eb patronazh qindra e qindra mij\u00ebra votues.<\/p>\n<p>Mospjes\u00ebmarrja e partive t\u00eb vogla n\u00eb zgjedhjet e radh\u00ebs prish pik\u00ebrisht formul\u00ebn e tyre t\u00eb suksesit. Aq m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, kur ato largohen krejt nga sistemi politik (n\u00eb qend\u00ebr e n\u00eb rrethe) ato nuk e kan\u00eb m\u00eb mund\u00ebsin\u00eb t\u00eb kujdesen p\u00ebr p\u00ebrkrah\u00ebsit e marr\u00eb n\u00eb patronazh n\u00eb zgjedhjet e shkuara.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Konkluzion<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Me pak fjal\u00eb, dy parit\u00eb e m\u00ebdha ndoshta do ta shtojn\u00eb p\u00ebrkrahjen elektorale respektive n\u00eb kushtet e acarimit t\u00eb m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm t\u00eb situat\u00ebs politike, nd\u00ebrsa partit\u00eb e vogla mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb ekzistenciale tkurrjeje.\/AFP<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Eduard Zaloshnja Acarimi i situat\u00ebs politike n\u00eb muajt e fundit ka patur efektet e veta n\u00eb humorin e elektoratit shqiptar. K\u00ebt\u00eb gj\u00eb mund ta them, meq\u00eb zhvilloj sondazhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrmuajshme p\u00ebr nj\u00eb revist\u00eb q\u00eb botohet anglisht n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb. Gj\u00eb q\u00eb m\u00eb jep mund\u00ebsin\u00eb t\u2019i mas n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebraf\u00ebrt efektet elektorale. K\u00ebshtu, nga ekstrapolimi [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4209,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,4],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Efektet elektorale t\u00eb acarimit t\u00eb situat\u00ebs politike - Informohu qart\u00ebsisht!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redaktori.com\/?p=10592\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Efektet elektorale t\u00eb acarimit t\u00eb situat\u00ebs politike - Informohu qart\u00ebsisht!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nga Eduard Zaloshnja Acarimi i situat\u00ebs politike n\u00eb muajt e fundit ka patur efektet e veta n\u00eb humorin e elektoratit shqiptar. 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K\u00ebt\u00eb gj\u00eb mund ta them, meq\u00eb zhvilloj sondazhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrmuajshme p\u00ebr nj\u00eb revist\u00eb q\u00eb botohet anglisht n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb. Gj\u00eb q\u00eb m\u00eb jep mund\u00ebsin\u00eb t\u2019i mas n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebraf\u00ebrt efektet elektorale. 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